Match

Laguna de Duero vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Laguna de DueroEstrella

The Footlab AI model makes Laguna de Duero the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Laguna de Duero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Laguna de Duero vs Estrella?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Laguna de Duero (1,547) and Estrella (1,627).

38%28%34%
Laguna de Duero winDrawEstrella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Laguna de Duero vs Estrella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Laguna de Duero

4-3-3
  1. HHugo Guzón
  2. RRodrigo Montenegro
  3. JJhonatan Delgado
  1. CCristian Isla
  2. VVícto Molina
  3. DDani Ausocua
  1. AAlberto López
  2. MMario Aguilar
  3. GGuti
  4. IIker Holgado
  1. JJavier García

Estrella

4-3-3
  1. AAdrián Socorro
  2. MMarco
  3. AAlejo
  1. KKevin Suárez
  2. VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
  3. FFede Manzi
  1. JJaime
  2. FFran Ramírez
  3. IIan Bolaños Gracia
  4. AAythami Artiles Oliva
  1. AArturo Caballero

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laguna de Duero have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Estrella have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Laguna de Duero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Las Palmas III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 17, 2026Playas Sotavento(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Panadería Pulido(home)3-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 2, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Estrella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026San Miguel(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2026Marino(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Los Llanos(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 4, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 25, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Laguna de Duero0.92.709/1511/15
Estrella1.11.719/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Laguna de Duero sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (2 points from 7 matches) and Estrella sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Estrella72147137
17Laguna de Duero70257162

A question about Laguna de Duero vs Estrella?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Laguna de Duero vs Estrella?
The Footlab AI model makes Laguna de Duero the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Estrella.
Where and when is Laguna de Duero vs Estrella played?
Laguna de Duero vs Estrella is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Laguna de Duero and Estrella

Ready to know everything about football?