Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote played?

Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Real Unión de Tenerife

Lanzarote

The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Real Unión de Tenerife (1,753) and Lanzarote (1,783).

Real Unión de Tenerife win45 %

Draw31 %

Lanzarote win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión de Tenerife have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lanzarote have 2, 9 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Unión de Tenerife
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Lanzarote(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Lanzarote
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Bartolomé(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lanzarote win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Lanzarote 0-0 Real Unión de Tenerife	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 10, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife 1-0 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs Real Unión de Tenerife on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Unión de Tenerife	1.0	0.7	6	3/15	3/15
Lanzarote	0.8	1.0	4	8/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (45 points from 34 matches) and Lanzarote sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45	36	48
10	Real Unión de Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34	32	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote?: The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Lanzarote.
Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote played?: Real Unión de Tenerife vs Lanzarote is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.