Los Llanos vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane
The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Llanos vs San Miguel?
San Miguel starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; San Miguel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Herbania(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Llanos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| San Miguel | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Los Llanos vs San Miguel played?
- Los Llanos vs San Miguel is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 1, 2027San Fernando CDvsVillaverde Norte
- Apr 1, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsSan Bartolomé
- Apr 1, 2027MarinovsAnaza
- Apr 1, 2027Panadería PulidovsEstrella
- Apr 1, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsLanzarote
- Apr 1, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsTenerife C
- Apr 1, 2027Laguna de DuerovsMensajero
- Apr 1, 2027Playas SotaventovsVilla Santa Brígida