Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas III
4-3-3- VVíctor José Socorro Quintana
- HHéctor David Castillo Martín
- AAbian Santos Vergara
- SSamu
- GGabriel Felipe Arrocha
- JJosé Ángel
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- BBrian
- UUssama Ahmed Ouzzani
- ÁÁlvaro Santana
- AAlejandro González Gorrín
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; San Bartolomé have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Las Palmas III win, 1 draw, 0 San Bartolomé wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | San Bartolomé 2-2 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Las Palmas III 6-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas III score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas III | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas III sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (16 points from 9 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 16 |
| 12 | San Bartolomé | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé played?
- Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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