Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé?
Las Palmas III starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; San Bartolomé have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tenisca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Las Palmas III win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 San Bartolomé win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | San Bartolomé 2-2 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Las Palmas III 6-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Las Palmas III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas III | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas III sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (54 points from 34 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 14th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 54 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé played?
- Las Palmas III vs San Bartolomé is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 1, 2027San Fernando CDvsVillaverde Norte
- Apr 1, 2027MarinovsAnaza
- Apr 1, 2027Panadería PulidovsEstrella
- Apr 1, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsLanzarote
- Apr 1, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsTenerife C
- Apr 1, 2027Laguna de DuerovsMensajero
- Apr 1, 2027Los LlanosvsSan Miguel
- Apr 1, 2027Playas SotaventovsVilla Santa Brígida