Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Estrella played?

Panadería Pulido vs Estrella is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Panadería Pulido vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo

Panadería Pulido

Estrella

The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Estrella?

Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,602).

Panadería Pulido win61 %

Draw24 %

Estrella win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Estrella have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Panadería Pulido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Miguel(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Atlético Paso(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Estrella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Herbania(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	San Bartolomé(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Santa Úrsula(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Buzanada(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	Marino(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Panadería Pulido win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Estrella win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2025	Panadería Pulido 0-0 Estrella	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 20, 2024	Estrella 1-2 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Feb 24, 2023	Panadería Pulido 2-0 Estrella	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2022	Estrella 0-0 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Estrella on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Panadería Pulido	1.0	1.2	3	8/15	5/15
Estrella	0.9	1.0	5	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Panadería Pulido	34	15	10	9	47	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Estrella?: The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Estrella.
Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Estrella played?: Panadería Pulido vs Estrella is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.