Panadería Pulido vs Estrella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo
The Footlab AI model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Estrella. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panadería Pulido vs Estrella?
Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panadería Pulido vs Estrella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panadería Pulido
Not enough data to predict the Panadería Pulido lineup.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Estrella have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Panadería Pulido wins, 2 draws, 0 Estrella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Estrella 1-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Panadería Pulido 2-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Estrella 0-0 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Estrella on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Panadería Pulido score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panadería Pulido | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panadería Pulido sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (13 points from 6 matches) and Estrella sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Panadería Pulido vs Estrella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs Estrella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Estrella.
- Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs Estrella played?
- Panadería Pulido vs Estrella is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 1, 2027San Fernando CDvsVillaverde Norte
- Apr 1, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsSan Bartolomé
- Apr 1, 2027MarinovsAnaza
- Apr 1, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsLanzarote
- Apr 1, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsTenerife C
- Apr 1, 2027Laguna de DuerovsMensajero
- Apr 1, 2027Los LlanosvsSan Miguel
- Apr 1, 2027Playas SotaventovsVilla Santa Brígida