Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 29Kick-off on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, Yaiza (Lanzarote)
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Sur Yaiza the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Sur Yaiza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Unión Sur Yaiza (1,730) and Lanzarote (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Sur Yaiza
Not enough data to predict the Unión Sur Yaiza lineup.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Sur Yaiza have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lanzarote have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Unión Sur Yaiza win, 5 draws, 0 Lanzarote wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lanzarote 0-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Unión Sur Yaiza 3-3 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 12, 2024 | Lanzarote 0-0 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Unión Sur Yaiza 0-0 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Lanzarote 0-1 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-2 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs Unión Sur Yaiza on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Sur Yaiza sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 6 matches) and Lanzarote sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Sur Yaiza the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Lanzarote.
- Where and when is Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote played?
- Unión Sur Yaiza vs Lanzarote is played on April 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 1, 2027San Fernando CDvsVillaverde Norte
- Apr 1, 2027Las Palmas IIIvsSan Bartolomé
- Apr 1, 2027MarinovsAnaza
- Apr 1, 2027Panadería PulidovsEstrella
- Apr 1, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsTenerife C
- Apr 1, 2027Laguna de DuerovsMensajero
- Apr 1, 2027Los LlanosvsSan Miguel
- Apr 1, 2027Playas SotaventovsVilla Santa Brígida