San Miguel vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Marino. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Marino?
On Elo ratings, San Miguel has 1,802 points and Marino 1,731.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Miguel vs Marino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Marino have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 San Miguel wins, 0 draws, 0 Marino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Miguel 2-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Marino 1-2 San Miguel | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (19 points from 9 matches) and Marino sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Miguel | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Marino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
A question about San Miguel vs Marino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Marino?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Marino.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Marino played?
- San Miguel vs Marino is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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