Institute vs Armagh City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Londonderry
The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Institute vs Armagh City?
Institute is a heavy favourite: 1,438 Elo points against 1,133, a 305-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Institute vs Armagh City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Institute
Not enough data to predict the Institute lineup.
Armagh City
Not enough data to predict the Armagh City lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Institute have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Armagh City have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 7-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Institute wins, 0 draws, 0 Armagh City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Armagh City 3-5 Institute | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Armagh City 1-4 Institute | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Institute 6-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Institute 2-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Armagh City 1-3 Institute | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Institute 4-3 Armagh City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Armagh City vs Institute on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Institute score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Armagh City score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Armagh City | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Institute sit 7th in Championship (59 points from 38 matches) and Armagh City sit 12th (19 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59 | 46 | 59 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
A question about Institute vs Armagh City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Institute vs Armagh City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Institute the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Institute vs Armagh City played?
- Institute vs Armagh City is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.