Rathfriland vs H&W Welders: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Iveagh Park, Rathfriland
The Footlab AI model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Rathfriland. The most likely score is 1-1. If H&W Welders wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rathfriland vs H&W Welders?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Rathfriland (1,364) and H&W Welders (1,428).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rathfriland vs H&W Welders
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
H&W Welders
4-3-3- 11E. Devine
- 12E. Nto
- 28D. Mhondiwa
- 24R. Wilson
- 6D. Kearns
- LL. McKenna
- 30K. Nelson
- 2L. Patterson
- 8C. Harris
- 22E. McCoubrey
- 3S. Safaei
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rathfriland have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; H&W Welders have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ards(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ards(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Rathfriland win, 0 draws, 0 H&W Welders wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | H&W Welders 1-3 Rathfriland | Championship |
Last archived meeting: H&W Welders vs Rathfriland on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rathfriland score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; H&W Welders score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| H&W Welders | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rathfriland sit 15th in Championship (6 points from 10 matches) and H&W Welders sit 3rd (66 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | H&W WeldersChampionship 1: Promotion Group | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 87 | 48 | 66 |
| 15 | RathfrilandChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Rathfriland vs H&W Welders?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rathfriland vs H&W Welders?
- The Footlab AI model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Rathfriland.
- Where and when is Rathfriland vs H&W Welders played?
- Rathfriland vs H&W Welders is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Iveagh Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.