Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town?
Newington Youth starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,472 vs 1,245).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newington Youth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Warrenpoint Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newington Youth win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Warrenpoint Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 2-4 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Newington Youth 4-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Newington Youth 3-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Warrenpoint Town 2-0 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Newington Youth 1-4 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Newington Youth 0-1 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Newington Youth on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newington Youth sit 1st in Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Warrenpoint Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town played?
- Newington Youth vs Warrenpoint Town is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.