Loughgall vs Newry City AFC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lakeview Park, Loughgall
The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
Loughgall starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,386 vs 1,244).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loughgall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Newry City AFC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Loughgall win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Newry City AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | Newry City AFC 1-1 Loughgall | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Newry City AFC 1-4 Loughgall | Premiership |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Loughgall 0-0 Newry City AFC | Premiership |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Loughgall 3-1 Newry City AFC | Premiership |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Newry City AFC 0-3 Loughgall | Premiership |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Newry City AFC 0-2 Loughgall | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newry City AFC vs Loughgall on Jul 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Loughgall score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newry City AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Newry City AFC | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loughgall sit 3rd in Championship (8 points from 4 matches) and Newry City AFC sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Loughgall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Loughgall vs Newry City AFC played?
- Loughgall vs Newry City AFC is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lakeview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.