Loznica vs Grafičar: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lagator, Loznica
The Footlab model makes Loznica the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Grafičar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loznica vs Grafičar?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Loznica (1,633) and Grafičar (1,561).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loznica have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Grafičar have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grafičar(away) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borac Cacak(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dubočica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftagas(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Loznica win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Grafičar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grafičar 2-2 Loznica | Prva Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Loznica 1-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Grafičar 1-2 Loznica | Prva Liga |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Loznica 2-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Grafičar 5-1 Loznica | Prva Liga |
| Dec 16, 2021 | Grafičar 2-1 Loznica | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Loznica score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grafičar score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loznica | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Grafičar | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loznica sit 10th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Grafičar sit 11th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Loznica | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Grafičar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loznica vs Grafičar?
- The Footlab model makes Loznica the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Grafičar.
- Where and when is Loznica vs Grafičar played?
- Loznica vs Grafičar is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lagator, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.