Match

Lucchese vs Sasso Marconi Zola: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

LuccheseSasso Marconi Zola

The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,735) and Sasso Marconi Zola (1,641).

Lucchese win50 %
Draw28 %
Sasso Marconi Zola win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sasso Marconi Zola have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Sasso Marconi Zola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Imolese(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Progresso(away)1-4Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Imolese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15
Sasso Marconi Zola0.91.438/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Sasso Marconi Zola?
The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Sasso Marconi Zola played?
Lucchese vs Sasso Marconi Zola is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lucchese and Sasso Marconi Zola

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