Where and when is Progresso vs Grassina played?

Progresso vs Grassina is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Progresso vs Grassina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore

Progresso

Grassina

The Footlab model makes Progresso the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progresso vs Grassina?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Progresso (1,681) and Grassina (1,759).

Progresso win35 %

Draw30 %

Grassina win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Grassina have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progresso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sasso Marconi Zola(home)	4-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Sant'Angelo(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Lentigione(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Correggese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 2, 2026	Tuttocuoio(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D

Grassina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2020	Aglianese(away)	3-3	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 23, 2020	Gavorrano(away)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 16, 2020	Flaminia(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 9, 2020	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Feb 2, 2020	Scandicci(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Progresso	1.0	1.3	3	7/15	6/15
Grassina	1.5	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progresso vs Grassina?: The Footlab model makes Progresso the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Grassina.
Where and when is Progresso vs Grassina played?: Progresso vs Grassina is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.