Progresso vs Grassina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore
The Footlab AI model makes Progresso the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Grassina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresso wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresso vs Grassina?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Progresso (1,553) and Grassina (1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresso vs Grassina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Grassina
Not enough data to predict the Grassina lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Grassina have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 3-6 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grassina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Grassina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresso sit 16th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 6 matches) and Grassina sit 17th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 17 | Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 2 |
A question about Progresso vs Grassina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresso vs Grassina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresso the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Grassina.
- Where and when is Progresso vs Grassina played?
- Progresso vs Grassina is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027LucchesevsSasso Marconi Zola
- Feb 21, 2027Robur SienavsTernana
- Feb 21, 2027PratovsGavorrano
- Feb 21, 2027SeravezzavsRondinella
- Feb 21, 2027MezzolaravsFlaminia
- Feb 21, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Feb 21, 2027ScandiccivsTerranuova Traiana
- Feb 21, 2027Tau AltopasciovsSan Donato Tavarnelle