Match

Robur Siena vs Ternana: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena

Robur SienaTernana

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Robur Siena. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Robur Siena vs Ternana?

Ternana starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,755).

Robur Siena win34 %
Draw30 %
Ternana win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Ternana have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Robur Siena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Scandicci(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Prato(away)1-3Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Sporting Trestina(home)4-4Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Camaiore(away)5-2Serie D - Girone E
Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Pianese(away)1-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026Pianese(home)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026Bra(away)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Perugia(home)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Juventus U23(away)1-2Serie C - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Robur Siena2.61.4411/1510/15
Ternana1.51.4211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Robur Siena341798573560

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Ternana?
The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Robur Siena.
Where and when is Robur Siena vs Ternana played?
Robur Siena vs Ternana is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Robur Siena and Ternana

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