Match

Robur Siena vs Ternana: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena

Robur SienaTernana

The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ternana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Robur Siena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Robur Siena vs Ternana?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,717) and Ternana (1,769).

40%29%31%
Robur Siena winDrawTernana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Robur Siena vs Ternana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Robur Siena

4-3-3
  1. 7F. Disanto
  2. 9A. Paloschi
  3. 14M. Meli
  1. 55G. Leone
  2. 10N. Belloni
  3. 15R. Collodel
  1. 3A. Favalli
  2. 13L. Crescenzi
  3. 6D. Riccardi
  4. 2A. Raimo
  1. 1I. Lanni

Ternana

Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ternana have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Robur Siena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Progresso(away)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Flaminia(away)3-0Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Seravezza(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Lucchese(away)2-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)3-0Serie D - Girone E
Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lucchese(away)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)4-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Scandicci(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Tau Altopascio(home)3-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Mezzolara(away)1-2Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Robur Siena score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Robur Siena2.31.369/1510/15
Ternana1.31.3211/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Robur Siena sit 8th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 6 matches) and Ternana sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Robur Siena631213810
9Ternana6222958

A question about Robur Siena vs Ternana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Ternana?
The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Ternana.
Where and when is Robur Siena vs Ternana played?
Robur Siena vs Ternana is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Robur Siena and Ternana

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