Prato vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prato vs Gavorrano?
Prato starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Prato vs Gavorrano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Gavorrano
4-3-3- 9Cristian Carlo Brega
- 19R. Barbuti
- 11M. Malotti
- 8Loris Damonte
- 25Leandro Vitiello
- 21F. Conti
- 3P. Ropolo
- 23D. Mori
- 6D. Marchetti
- 16G. Favale
- 1W. Falcone
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Gavorrano have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Prato wins, 1 draw, 2 Gavorrano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Gavorrano 2-1 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Prato 2-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Prato 1-2 Gavorrano | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Gavorrano 1-1 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Prato 1-0 Gavorrano | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (14 points from 6 matches) and Gavorrano sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
A question about Prato vs Gavorrano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prato vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Gavorrano.
- Where and when is Prato vs Gavorrano played?
- Prato vs Gavorrano is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027LucchesevsSasso Marconi Zola
- Feb 21, 2027Robur SienavsTernana
- Feb 21, 2027SeravezzavsRondinella
- Feb 21, 2027MezzolaravsFlaminia
- Feb 21, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Feb 21, 2027ScandiccivsTerranuova Traiana
- Feb 21, 2027ProgressovsGrassina
- Feb 21, 2027Tau AltopasciovsSan Donato Tavarnelle