Where and when is Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio played?

Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

Lucchese

Tau Altopascio

The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Tau Altopascio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,735) and Tau Altopascio (1,769).

Lucchese win38 %

Draw30 %

Tau Altopascio win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2025	Sestri Levante(home)	1-0	Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025	Sestri Levante(away)	1-2	Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025	Torres(home)	3-2	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025	Arezzo(away)	1-4	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025	Vis Pesaro(home)	1-0	Serie C - Girone B

Tau Altopascio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Seravezza(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Gavorrano(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Terranuova Traiana(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Poggibonsi(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Cannara(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lucchese	1.7	1.6	4	11/15	9/15
Tau Altopascio	1.3	1.3	3	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Tau Altopascio	34	18	9	7	53	33	63

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio?: The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Tau Altopascio.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio played?: Lucchese vs Tau Altopascio is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.