Robur Siena vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Prato. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Prato?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,755) and Prato (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Camaiore(away) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Robur Siena win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Prato win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Prato 3-1 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Prato 3-3 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Robur Siena 0-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Robur Siena 1-0 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Prato 1-0 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Robur Siena 2-1 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Prato | 1.6 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Robur Siena sit 4th in Serie D - Girone E (60 points from 34 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 63 |
| 4 | Robur Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Prato?
- The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Prato.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Prato played?
- Robur Siena vs Prato is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 25, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Apr 25, 2027SeravezzavsSasso Marconi Zola
- Apr 25, 2027GrassinavsTerranuova Traiana
- Apr 25, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsScandicci
- Apr 25, 2027ProgressovsMezzolara
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