Match

Robur Siena vs Prato: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena

Robur SienaPrato

The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Prato. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Robur Siena vs Prato?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Robur Siena (1,755) and Prato (1,786).

Robur Siena win42 %
Draw28 %
Prato win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Robur Siena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026Scandicci(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Prato(away)1-3Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Sporting Trestina(home)4-4Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Camaiore(away)5-2Serie D - Girone E
Prato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Seravezza(home)1-2Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-1Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Grosseto(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Robur Siena win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Prato win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Prato 3-1 Robur SienaSerie D - Girone E
Mar 15, 2026Prato 3-3 Robur SienaSerie D - Girone E
Nov 2, 2025Robur Siena 0-0 PratoSerie D - Girone E
Dec 16, 2017Robur Siena 1-0 PratoSerie C - Girone A
Aug 27, 2017Prato 1-0 Robur SienaSerie C - Girone A
Feb 12, 2017Robur Siena 2-1 PratoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Prato vs Robur Siena on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Robur Siena2.61.4411/1510/15
Prato1.60.6105/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Robur Siena sit 4th in Serie D - Girone E (60 points from 34 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Prato342059492963
4Robur Siena341798573560

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Prato?
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Prato.
Where and when is Robur Siena vs Prato played?
Robur Siena vs Prato is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Robur Siena and Prato

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