Progresso vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 33Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore
The Footlab AI model makes Progresso the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresso wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresso vs Mezzolara?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Progresso (1,652) and Mezzolara (1,616).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresso vs Mezzolara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Mezzolara
Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Progresso win, 2 draws, 2 Mezzolara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Mezzolara 1-2 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Progresso 2-2 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Mezzolara 1-0 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Progresso 0-1 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Mezzolara 0-0 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Mezzolara vs Progresso on May 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mezzolara | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresso sit 17th in Serie D - Girone E (3 points from 7 matches) and Mezzolara sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Progresso vs Mezzolara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresso vs Mezzolara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresso the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Mezzolara.
- Where and when is Progresso vs Mezzolara played?
- Progresso vs Mezzolara is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027TernanavsFlaminia
- Apr 25, 2027LucchesevsTau Altopascio
- Apr 25, 2027Robur SienavsPrato
- Apr 25, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Apr 25, 2027SeravezzavsSasso Marconi Zola
- Apr 25, 2027GrassinavsTerranuova Traiana
- Apr 25, 2027Montevarchi CalciovsScandicci
- Apr 25, 2027RondinellavsGavorrano