Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Ludogorets II (1,635) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ludogorets II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0-0 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ludogorets II 4-2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Ludogorets II 0-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Ludogorets II on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets II sit 11th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
- Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas played?
- Ludogorets II vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.