Montana vs Beroe: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montana vs Beroe?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Montana (1,625) and Beroe (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Beroe have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Montana win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Beroe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Beroe 2-2 Montana | First League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Montana 0-1 Beroe | First League |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Beroe 1-1 Montana | First League |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Montana 1-1 Beroe | First League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Beroe 0-0 Montana | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Beroe | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montana vs Beroe?
- The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Beroe.
- Where and when is Montana vs Beroe played?
- Montana vs Beroe is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsVihren
- Mar 20, 2027Ludogorets IIvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Mar 20, 2027NesebarvsMarek
- Mar 20, 2027Spartak PlevenvsCSKA Sofia II
- Mar 20, 2027DobrudzhavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Mar 20, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsYantra 2019
- Mar 20, 2027Sportist SvogevsRilski Sportist
- Mar 20, 2027FratriavsHebar 1918