Match

Montana vs Beroe: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ogosta, Montana

MontanaBeroe

The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Beroe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montana vs Beroe?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Montana (1,625) and Beroe (1,657).

Montana win45 %
Draw28 %
Beroe win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Beroe have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)1-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 11, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-3Second League
Aug 4, 2026Nesebar(home)3-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-2Second League
Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)3-0Second League
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Montana win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Beroe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 5, 2026Beroe 2-2 MontanaFirst League
Mar 22, 2026Montana 0-1 BeroeFirst League
Oct 20, 2025Beroe 1-1 MontanaFirst League
Apr 24, 2021Montana 1-1 BeroeFirst League
Dec 19, 2020Beroe 0-0 MontanaFirst League

Last archived meeting: Beroe vs Montana on May 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Montana score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montana1.21.338/157/15
Beroe1.10.965/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montana sit 8th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Beroe sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Montana5212987
12Beroe4202446

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montana vs Beroe?
The Footlab model makes Montana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Beroe.
Where and when is Montana vs Beroe played?
Montana vs Beroe is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ogosta, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montana and Beroe

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