Fratria vs Hebar 1918: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Hebar 1918. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Hebar 1918?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hebar 1918 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 3-4 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fratria win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hebar 1918 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Fratria 3-2 Hebar 1918 | Second League |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Hebar 1918 1-3 Fratria | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hebar 1918 score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hebar 1918 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Hebar 1918 sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Hebar 1918?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Hebar 1918.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Hebar 1918 played?
- Fratria vs Hebar 1918 is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Etar Veliko TarnovovsVihren
- Mar 20, 2027Ludogorets IIvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Mar 20, 2027NesebarvsMarek
- Mar 20, 2027Spartak PlevenvsCSKA Sofia II
- Mar 20, 2027MontanavsBeroe
- Mar 20, 2027DobrudzhavsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Mar 20, 2027Pirin BlagoevgradvsYantra 2019
- Mar 20, 2027Sportist SvogevsRilski Sportist