Match

Nesebar vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

NesebarMarek

The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nesebar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Marek?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Nesebar (1,661) and Marek (1,612).

42%28%30%
Nesebar winDrawMarek win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nesebar vs Marek

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Marek

4-3-3
  1. 10N. Ganchev
  2. 19Dimitar Goranov
  3. 11M. Miletić
  1. 16S. Mechev
  2. 90P. Georgiev
  3. 88E. George
  1. 23E. Viyachki
  2. 3M. Petkov
  3. 33D. Kirilov
  4. 2Nikolay Plyakov
  1. 21K. Kostadinov

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:13 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Marek have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Beroe(home)3-2Second League
Oct 4, 2026Chavdar Troyan(away)4-0Cup
Sep 26, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)0-0Second League
Sep 20, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-3Second League
Sep 13, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)3-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nesebar wins, 0 draws, 3 Marek wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2026Marek 1-0 NesebarSecond League
May 17, 2025Marek 1-0 NesebarSecond League
Nov 23, 2024Nesebar 0-2 MarekSecond League

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Nesebar on Sep 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15
Marek1.21.364/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 7th in Second League (18 points from 12 matches) and Marek sit 12th (17 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
12Marek12525141417

A question about Nesebar vs Marek?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Marek?
The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Marek.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Marek played?
Nesebar vs Marek is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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