Ludogorets II vs Rilski Sportist: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rilski Sportist. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Rilski Sportist?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Ludogorets II (1,635) and Rilski Sportist (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Rilski Sportist have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ludogorets II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rilski Sportist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist 0-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Rilski Sportist vs Ludogorets II on Jul 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rilski Sportist | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets II sit 11th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Rilski Sportist sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets II vs Rilski Sportist?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets II the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rilski Sportist.
- Where and when is Ludogorets II vs Rilski Sportist played?
- Ludogorets II vs Rilski Sportist is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsNesebar
- Nov 28, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsVihren
- Nov 28, 2026Spartak PlevenvsYantra 2019
- Nov 28, 2026MontanavsSportist Svoge
- Nov 28, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsDobrudzha
- Nov 28, 2026Hebar 1918vsBeroe
- Nov 28, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Nov 28, 2026FratriavsMarek