Lugano vs El Porvenir: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DApertura - 1Kick-off on March 18, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Lugano vs El Porvenir?
El Porvenir won 0-1 on March 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′?El Porvenir
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; El Porvenir have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2022 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-2 | Primera D |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Yupanqui(away) | 1-3 | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Centro Español(home) | 2-0 | Primera D |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Mercedes(away) | 2-1 | Primera D |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Deportivo Paraguayo(home) | 1-0 | Primera D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Excursionistas(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Liniers(away) | 1-4 | Primera C |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Midland(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Deportivo Español(away) | 1-3 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lugano wins, 0 draws, 6 El Porvenir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jun 14, 2015 | Lugano 2-4 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Oct 18, 2014 | El Porvenir 4-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Lugano 0-4 El Porvenir | Primera D |
| Mar 7, 2014 | El Porvenir 1-0 Lugano | Primera D |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Lugano 0-1 El Porvenir | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| El Porvenir | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugano | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Lugano vs El Porvenir?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy