Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Lugo (1,884) and Cultural Leonesa (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lugo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cultural Leonesa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lugo 1-0 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Lugo 1-4 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lugo 0-3 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.