Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Cultural Leonesa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lugo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?
Lugo starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,979 vs 1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lugo
4-3-3- 17Chiqui
- 14Álex Gallar
- 11M. Dauda
- 20A. Ulloa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 21G. Berzal
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 18Kike Hermoso
- 3Pere Haro
- 25F. Embadje
Cultural Leonesa
4-4-2- 22Dani Queipo
- 9Jorge Delgado
- 14Bicho
- 6Sergi Maestre
- 23Ángel Algobia
- 10Álex Cardero
- 3Jaime Vázquez
- 15Antxón Jaso
- 17Carlos Pomares
- 2Guzmán
- 1Miquel Parera
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Cultural Leonesa have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lugo win, 1 draw, 4 Cultural Leonesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lugo 1-0 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Lugo 1-4 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lugo 0-3 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cultural Leonesa score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugo sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (25 points from 10 matches) and Cultural Leonesa sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 25 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Cultural Leonesa.
- Where and when is Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa played?
- Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.