Match

Zamora vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraBarakaldo

The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Barakaldo?

On Elo ratings, Zamora has 1,992 points and Barakaldo 1,946.

58%26%16%
Zamora winDrawBarakaldo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zamora vs Barakaldo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zamora

4-3-3
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 20I. Incera
  3. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 12José Albert
  1. 5Aleix Gorjón
  2. 3Luismi Luengo
  3. 4Unai Dufur
  4. 18Iago Indias
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Barakaldo

4-3-3
  1. 27E. Mateos
  2. 19Ángel Troncho
  3. 9X. Sola
  1. 8Julen Huidobro
  2. 15I. Jimenez
  3. 21X. Fernandez
  1. 3Ander Zoilo
  2. 4O. Marotias
  3. 18Benat Gomez
  4. 22S. Calera
  1. 13Gaizka Campos

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Barakaldo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026CD Coria(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Mirandes(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Real Avilés(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Zamora wins, 2 draws, 0 Barakaldo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Zamora 2-2 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025Barakaldo 1-1 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 2, 2025Zamora 2-1 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 18, 2024Barakaldo 0-3 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Barakaldo on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.01.157/155/15
Barakaldo1.21.155/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 8 matches) and Barakaldo sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Zamora833210812
13Barakaldo82338109

A question about Zamora vs Barakaldo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Barakaldo?
The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Barakaldo.
Where and when is Zamora vs Barakaldo played?
Zamora vs Barakaldo is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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