Lugo vs Unionistas de Salamanca: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Unionistas de Salamanca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugo vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Lugo (1,888) and Unionistas de Salamanca (1,939).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Unionistas de Salamanca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lugo win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Lugo 1-3 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Unionistas de Salamanca 0-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Lugo 2-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Unionistas de Salamanca 1-1 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Lugo 1-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Unionistas de Salamanca 1-1 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Unionistas de Salamanca on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugo sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (53 points from 38 matches) and Unionistas de Salamanca sit 8th (56 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
- The Footlab model makes Lugo the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Unionistas de Salamanca.
- Where and when is Lugo vs Unionistas de Salamanca played?
- Lugo vs Unionistas de Salamanca is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.