Match

Real Avilés vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés

Real AvilésZamora

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Avilés vs Zamora?

Zamora starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,869).

Real Avilés win34 %
Draw27 %
Zamora win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Zamora have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Avilés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sporting Gijón II(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Mosconia(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Racing Santander II(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Avilés win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Zamora win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Real Avilés 0-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2025Zamora 2-3 Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 24, 2024Real Avilés 0-1 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 12, 2023Zamora 1-0 Real AvilésSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 7, 2023Real Avilés 2-1 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 8, 2023Zamora 1-1 Real AvilésSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Zamora on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Avilés1.51.5212/158/15
Zamora1.41.166/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Avilés sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (44 points from 38 matches) and Zamora sit 3rd (61 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261
14Real Avilés38111116556744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Zamora?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Real Avilés vs Zamora played?
Real Avilés vs Zamora is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Avilés and Zamora

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