Match

Real Avilés vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés

Real AvilésZamora

The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Zamora. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Avilés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Avilés vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Real Avilés (1,918) and Zamora (1,991).

47%27%26%
Real Avilés winDrawZamora win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Avilés vs Zamora

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Avilés

4-3-3
  1. 14Berto Cayarga
  2. 8B. Abelenda
  3. 19N. Poquet
  1. 7Cris Montes
  2. 9Álvaro Santamaría
  3. 5Samuel
  1. 20O. Carracedo
  2. 4Markel Artetxe
  3. 21Jon Sillero
  4. 23A. Lopez
  1. 1Álvaro Ratón

Zamora

4-3-3
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 20I. Incera
  3. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 12José Albert
  1. 5Aleix Gorjón
  2. 3Luismi Luengo
  3. 4Unai Dufur
  4. 18Iago Indias
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Zamora have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Avilés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026UD Ourense(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Ponferradina(away)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Barakaldo(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026CD Coria(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026CD Coria(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Avilés wins, 1 draw, 3 Zamora wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Real Avilés 0-2 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2025Zamora 2-3 Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Mar 24, 2024Real Avilés 0-1 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 12, 2023Zamora 1-0 Real AvilésSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
May 7, 2023Real Avilés 2-1 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 8, 2023Zamora 1-1 Real AvilésSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Zamora on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Avilés score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Avilés1.61.2310/157/15
Zamora1.01.157/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Avilés sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Zamora sit 6th (12 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Zamora833210812
9Real Avilés8323141011

A question about Real Avilés vs Zamora?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Zamora?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Zamora.
Where and when is Real Avilés vs Zamora played?
Real Avilés vs Zamora is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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