Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León
The Footlab AI model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cultural Leonesa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?
On Elo ratings, Cultural Leonesa has 1,841 points and Lugo 1,959.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cultural Leonesa
4-4-2- 22Dani Queipo
- 9Jorge Delgado
- 14Bicho
- 6Sergi Maestre
- 23Ángel Algobia
- 10Álex Cardero
- 3Jaime Vázquez
- 17Carlos Pomares
- 2Guzmán
- 5Róber Pier
- 1Miquel Parera
Lugo
4-3-3- 17Chiqui
- 9Alex Costa
- 10Alan Godoy
- 20A. Ulloa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 7T. Morchiladze
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 18Kike Hermoso
- 24Simon Perez
- 25F. Embadje
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Lugo have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cacereño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cultural Leonesa wins, 1 draw, 1 Lugo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lugo 1-0 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Lugo 1-4 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lugo 0-3 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cultural Leonesa score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Lugo | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cultural Leonesa sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 11 matches) and Lugo sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Lugo.
- Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo played?
- Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.