Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Reino de León, León
The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Cultural Leonesa (1,835) and Lugo (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cultural Leonesa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lugo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lugo 1-0 Cultural Leonesa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Lugo 1-4 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lugo 0-3 Cultural Leonesa | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Cultural Leonesa 1-1 Lugo | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cultural Leonesa score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Lugo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?
- The Footlab model makes Cultural Leonesa the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Lugo.
- Where and when is Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo played?
- Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.