Lujan vs Atletico Atlas: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Deportes, Luján, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Atlas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lujan vs Atletico Atlas?
Lujan starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lujan have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico Atlas have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yupanqui(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentino Rosario(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Canuelas(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Sacachispas(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lujan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atletico Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Atletico Atlas 2-3 Lujan | Primera C |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Atletico Atlas 1-1 Lujan | Primera C |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Lujan 3-1 Atletico Atlas | Primera C |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Atletico Atlas 0-1 Lujan | Primera C |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Lujan 0-1 Atletico Atlas | Primera C |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Atletico Atlas 1-3 Lujan | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Atlas vs Lujan on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lujan score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Atlas score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Atlas | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lujan sit 1st in Primera C (45 points from 24 matches) and Atletico Atlas sit 4th (35 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlas | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lujan vs Atletico Atlas?
- The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Atletico Atlas.
- Where and when is Lujan vs Atletico Atlas played?
- Lujan vs Atletico Atlas is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Deportes, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 19, 2026Leandro N. AlemvsMercedes
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- Sep 19, 2026General LamadridvsLeones de Rosario
- Sep 19, 2026Central BallestervsCentral Cordoba
- Sep 19, 2026FénixvsDeportivo Muñiz
- Sep 19, 2026El PorvenirvsDeportivo Español