Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane
The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Albinoleffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Lumezzane (1,752) and Albinoleffe (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Albinoleffe have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lumezzane win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Albinoleffe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-1 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Albinoleffe 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Albinoleffe 2-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Lumezzane 1-0 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Albinoleffe 2-3 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Lumezzane 3-1 Albinoleffe | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Albinoleffe score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Albinoleffe | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lumezzane sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Albinoleffe sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Albinoleffe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
- The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Albinoleffe.
- Where and when is Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe played?
- Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.