Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for PRO Vercelli. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; PRO Vercelli have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Brescia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 PRO Vercelli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | PRO Vercelli 0-0 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Union Brescia 5-0 PRO Vercelli | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: PRO Vercelli vs Union Brescia on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; PRO Vercelli score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| PRO Vercelli | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and PRO Vercelli sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | PRO Vercelli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli?
- The Footlab model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for PRO Vercelli.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli played?
- Union Brescia vs PRO Vercelli is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.