Match

Lecco vs Alcione: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco

LeccoAlcione

The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Alcione. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecco vs Alcione?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Lecco (1,791) and Alcione (1,767).

Lecco win40 %
Draw33 %
Alcione win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)0-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Atalanta II(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Hellas Verona(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026Catania(away)3-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Renate(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Novara(home)0-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 30, 2026Mantova(away)2-6Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Torino(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Lecco win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alcione win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Alcione 0-2 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Dec 8, 2025Lecco 1-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Mar 13, 2025Alcione 0-0 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Oct 30, 2024Lecco 1-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Lecco on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lecco1.31.358/158/15
Alcione0.71.337/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecco sit 10th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Alcione1100313
10Lecco1010001

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Alcione?
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Alcione.
Where and when is Lecco vs Alcione played?
Lecco vs Alcione is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lecco and Alcione

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