Luton vs Aston Villa: result 3-1 and analysis
League Cup1st RoundKick-off on August 10, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Aston Villa?
Luton won 3-1 on August 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. AyewAston Villa
- 35′J. GrayLuton
- 53′C. McGeehanLuton
- 66′J. OkoreLuton (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Aston Villa have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2016 | Plymouth(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| May 7, 2016 | Exeter City(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Carlisle(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2016 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 15, 2016 | Arsenal(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| May 7, 2016 | Newcastle(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Watford(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Southampton(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 0.6 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aston Villa | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy