Luton vs Aston Villa: result 3-1 and analysis
League Cup1st RoundKick-off on August 10, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Aston Villa?
Luton won 3-1 on August 10, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. AyewAston Villa
- 35′J. GrayLuton
- 53′C. McGeehanLuton
- 66′J. OkoreLuton (o.g.)
Official lineup for Luton vs Aston Villa
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Luton
4-4-2- 14J. Marriott
- 9D. Hylton
- 36J. Justin
- 7J. Gray
- 17P. Mpanzu
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19Oliver Robert Lee
- 16G. Rea
- 2S. O'Donnell
- 5Johnny Mullins
- 1C. Walton
Aston Villa
4-4-2- 10J. Ayew
- 44Ross McCormack
- 19A. Green
- 8A. Tshibola
- 40J. Grealish
- 22G. Gardner
- 23J. Amavi
- 5J. Okore
- 2N. Baker
- 4Micah Richards
- 31Mark Bunn
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Aston Villa have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2016 | Plymouth(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| May 7, 2016 | Exeter City(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Carlisle(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2016 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 15, 2016 | Arsenal(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| May 7, 2016 | Newcastle(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Watford(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Southampton(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 0.6 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aston Villa | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Luton vs Aston Villa?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy