Luton vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Cambridge United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Cambridge United?
On Elo ratings, Luton has 1,983 points and Cambridge United 1,958.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Cambridge United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Cambridge United
3-4-2-1- 14G. Yahyai
- 17P. Mpanzu
- 10B. Knight
- 7Isaac Heath
- 4D. Ball
- 11S. Kaikai
- 2L. Bennett
- 6K. Watts
- 22Z. Bradshaw
- 3Callum Perry
- 1J. Eastwood
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Luton wins, 1 draw, 1 Cambridge United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | Cambridge United 3-1 Luton | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Cambridge United 0-3 Luton | FA Cup |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Cambridge United 1-1 Luton | League Two |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Luton 7-0 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Luton 2-0 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Cambridge United 0-3 Luton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Luton on Oct 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 14th in League One (11 points from 8 matches) and Cambridge United sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Luton vs Cambridge United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Cambridge United.
- Where and when is Luton vs Cambridge United played?
- Luton vs Cambridge United is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.