Wigan vs Barnsley: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab AI model makes Wigan the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wigan wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Barnsley?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Wigan (1,838) and Barnsley (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wigan vs Barnsley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wigan
3-4-2-1- 25S. Hogan
- 8M. Power
- 6J. Weir
- 18Charlie Gray
- 22J. Mellish
- 2C. Barrett
- 27B. Burrows
- 5F. Burns
- 23J. Carragher
- 4J. Chilokoa-Mullen
- 41J. Whitworth
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Barnsley have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wigan win, 5 draws, 0 Barnsley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley 1-1 Wigan | League Cup |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Barnsley 1-1 Wigan | League One |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Wigan 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Wigan 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Barnsley 0-1 Wigan | League One |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Wigan 1-1 Barnsley | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (4 points from 8 matches) and Barnsley sit 19th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Wigan vs Barnsley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Barnsley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wigan the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Barnsley played?
- Wigan vs Barnsley is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.