Luton vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luton vs Mansfield Town?
Luton starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luton vs Mansfield Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luton
4-1-4-1- 21N. Wells
- 8L. Walsh
- 18J. Clark
- 45K. Palmer
- 10J. Donley
- 17T. Mendel-Idowu
- 2H. Odoffin
- 5M. Andersen
- 6G. Johnston
- 3K. Naismith
- 1J. Shea
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mansfield Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 6-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luton win, 3 draws, 2 Mansfield Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mansfield Town 5-2 Luton | League One |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mansfield Town 2-2 Luton | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Luton 0-2 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Luton 2-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Mansfield Town 2-2 Luton | League Two |
| Apr 17, 2017 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Luton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Luton on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luton sit 14th in League One (11 points from 8 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Luton vs Mansfield Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luton vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luton the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Luton vs Mansfield Town played?
- Luton vs Mansfield Town is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kenilworth Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.