Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 5Kick-off on November 15, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade de Luxembourg, Lëtzebuerg (Luxembourg)
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What was the result of Luxembourg vs Bulgaria?
Bulgaria won 0-1 on November 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 23′A. KraevBulgaria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luxembourg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bulgaria have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Belarus(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bulgaria(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Belarus(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Belgium(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Luxembourg(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Northern Ireland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Belarus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Slovenia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Luxembourg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bulgaria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Luxembourg 1-1 Bulgaria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 6, 2016 | Bulgaria 4-3 Luxembourg | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg on Oct 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Luxembourg score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Bulgaria | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy