Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście played?

Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Kotwica Kórnik

Flota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Kotwica Kórnik (1,634) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).

Kotwica Kórnik win27 %

Draw23 %

Flota Świnoujście win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście 2-0 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 23, 2024	Flota Świnoujście 2-2 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 3, 2024	Kotwica Kórnik 1-4 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Kotwica Kórnik on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście?: The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście played?: Kotwica Kórnik vs Flota Świnoujście is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.