Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino 1-1 Bałtyk Koszalin | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 13 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
- Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino played?
- Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsLech Poznań II
- Nov 28, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsKluczevia Stargard
- Nov 28, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsKalisz
- Nov 28, 2026Gedania GdanskvsElana Toruń
- Nov 28, 2026Victoria WrześniavsPolonia Środa
- Nov 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 28, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsNoteć Czarnków
- Nov 28, 2026Lipno StęszewvsWda Świecie