Match

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin

Bałtyk KoszalinLuzino

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,653).

Bałtyk Koszalin win14 %
Draw18 %
Luzino win67 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kalisz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Luzino(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Luzino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Luzino 1-1 Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Bałtyk Koszalin on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bałtyk Koszalin1.11.729/158/15
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
13Bałtyk Koszalin5122475

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino played?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bałtyk Koszalin and Luzino

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