Luzino vs Lech Poznań II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Lech Poznań II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Lech Poznań II?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lech Poznań II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Luzino win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lech Poznań II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Lech Poznań II 1-2 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Luzino 4-3 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Luzino on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lech Poznań II sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Lech Poznań II?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Lech Poznań II.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Lech Poznań II played?
- Luzino vs Lech Poznań II is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsUnia Swarzędz
- Oct 24, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsGrom Nowy Staw
- Oct 24, 2026KaliszvsPolonia Środa
- Oct 24, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsElana Toruń
- Oct 24, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsKluczevia Stargard
- Oct 24, 2026Victoria WrześniavsNoteć Czarnków
- Oct 24, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsWda Świecie
- Oct 24, 2026Lipno StęszewvsGedania Gdansk