Kalisz vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Środa wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kalisz vs Polonia Środa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kalisz
Not enough data to predict the Kalisz lineup.
Polonia Środa
4-3-3- 7P. Mikita
- 9J. Wilczyński
- 4Jakub Kledecki
- 97F. Karmański
- 10B. Bartkowiak
- 29M. Maćkowiak
- 38K. Gorecki
- 6Jonathan de Amo
- 2Michal Walczak
- 23M. Stangel
- 12M. Garstkiewicz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Polonia Środa have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kalisz wins, 0 draws, 1 Polonia Środa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | Kalisz 3-4 Polonia Środa | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kalisz vs Polonia Środa on Feb 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kalisz score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 2.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Polonia Środa | 2.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (17 points from 12 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (30 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 16 | 30 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Polonia Środa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Kalisz vs Polonia Środa played?
- Kalisz vs Polonia Środa is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsGrom Nowy Staw
- Oct 24, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsUnia Swarzędz
- Oct 24, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsElana Toruń
- Oct 24, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsKluczevia Stargard
- Oct 24, 2026LuzinovsLech Poznań II
- Oct 24, 2026Victoria WrześniavsNoteć Czarnków
- Oct 24, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsWda Świecie
- Oct 24, 2026Lipno StęszewvsGedania Gdansk