Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie?
Wda Świecie starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wda Świecie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kotwica Kórnik 2-0 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Kotwica Kórnik | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie played?
- Kotwica Kórnik vs Wda Świecie is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 24, 2026Victoria WrześniavsNoteć Czarnków
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