Luzino vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Kotwica Kórnik?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Luzino win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik 2-6 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Luzino on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Kotwica Kórnik?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
- Luzino vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsBałtyk Koszalin
- Nov 21, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsVictoria Września
- Nov 21, 2026KaliszvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 21, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Nov 21, 2026Kluczevia StargardvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Nov 21, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsGedania Gdansk
- Nov 21, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsStargard Szczeciński
- Nov 21, 2026Lipno StęszewvsElana Toruń