Where and when is Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Września

Victoria Września

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?

Noteć Czarnków starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,691).

Victoria Września win27 %

Draw24 %

Noteć Czarnków win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Września have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Victoria Września
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Luzino(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-5	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Victoria Września win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Victoria Września 0-0 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 12, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Victoria Września	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Victoria Września	1.1	1.7	4	8/15	9/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Victoria Września sit 16th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
16	Victoria Września	5	1	0	4	4	14	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.