Lyon vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lyon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Lyon (2,149) and Crystal Palace (2,194).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lyon vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lyon
4-2-3-1- 17L. Openda
- 23T. Morton
- 8C. Tolisso
- 7E. Nuamah
- 2M. Bidstrup
- 10P. Šulc
- 20F. Bacher
- 13Z. Athekame
- 16Abner
- 21R. Kluivert
- 1D. Greif
Known absences
M. NiakhatéOut · Muscle injury
M. OuédraogoOut · Knee injury
R. HimbertOut · Not in squad
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 23Q. Timber
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 5A. Disasi
- 6J. Canvot
- 44W. Benítez
Known absences
C. DoucouréOut · Off the roster
C. RiadOut · Knee injury
D. HendersonOut · Foot injury- E. GuessandOut · Off the roster
J. LermaOut · Off the roster- J. MatetaOut · Hamstring injury
T. TomiyasuOut · Calf injury
Z. GozoOut · Off the roster
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Crystal Palace have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Auxerre(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lyon wins, 0 draws, 1 Crystal Palace win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Crystal Palace 2-0 Lyon | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Lyon on Aug 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon sit 11th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Crystal Palace sit 2nd (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Lyon vs Crystal Palace played?
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace is played on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Groupama Stadium, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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