Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Lillestrom. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Sparta Praha starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 2,014).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 28R. Macek
- 10A. Karabec
- 17J. Mercado
- 38H. Sochurek
- 7J. Alcócer
- 6T. Guddal
- 22L. Mbe Soh
- 11M. Ryneš
- 2M. Suchomel
- 44J. Surovčík
Lillestrom
4-3-3- 20Vá
- 8F. Gulbrandsen
- 26Y. Paintsil
- 14G. Nyheim
- 29Y. Ibrahimaj
- 21F. Ottosson
- 2L. Ranger
- 11F. Elkær
- 28R. Gabrielsen
- 5S. Foss
- 12P. Dahlberg
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Lillestrom have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Viking(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrom score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Lillestrom | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 3rd in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Lillestrom sit 23rd (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Lillestrom.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom played?
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom is played on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.