Lyon W vs Marseille W: prediction and stats
Feminine Division 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Terrain d'honneur Gérard Houllier, Décines-Charpieu
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon W the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Marseille W. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon W vs Marseille W?
Lyon W is a heavy favourite: 2,471 Elo points against 1,668, a 803-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lyon W vs Marseille W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lyon W
4-2-3-1- 14A. Hegerberg
- 7V. Bècho
- 6M. Dumornay
- 13D. Egurrola
- 10I. Benyahia
- 10L. Horan
- 3W. Renard
- 4S. Bacha
- 33Tarciane
- 26W. Sangaré
- 1C. Endler
Marseille W
4-1-3-2- 9M. Bourdieu
- 6C. Baltrip-Reyes
- 20C. Lavogez
- 88S. Elisor
- 14J. Perret
- 18Bea
- 7L. Fleury
- 27Nelly Rodrigues
- 4M. Cosson
- 12A. Béché
- 1E. Burns
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon W have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Marseille W have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain W(away) | 4-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 5-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Chelsea W(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Servette Chênois W(away) | 8-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Le Havre W(away) | 8-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strasbourg W(away) | 3-3 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Montpellier W(away) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lens W(home) | 2-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Havre W(home) | 1-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | Dijon W(home) | 0-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Lyon W wins, 0 draws, 0 Marseille W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Marseille W 2-6 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Lyon W 3-1 Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Marseille W 0-8 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Lyon W 6-0 Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Lyon W 7-0 Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Marseille W 0-5 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marseille W vs Lyon W on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon W score 4.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille W score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon W | 4.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Marseille W | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon W sit 1st in Feminine Division 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Marseille W sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Marseille W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Lyon W vs Marseille W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon W vs Marseille W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon W the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 2% for Marseille W.
- Where and when is Lyon W vs Marseille W played?
- Lyon W vs Marseille W is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain d'honneur Gérard Houllier, in the Feminine Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.