Montpellier W vs Lyon W: prediction and stats
Feminine Division 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, Montpellier
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon W the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Montpellier W. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montpellier W vs Lyon W?
Lyon W is a heavy favourite: 2,471 Elo points against 1,767, a 704-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montpellier W vs Lyon W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montpellier W
5-4-1- 11J. Rouquet
- 4M. Torrent
- 20A. Fontaine
- 3R. Kadzere
- 10A. Binaté
- 12G. Gillard
- 13M. Revelli
- 5A. Tchakounté
- 21S. Haering
- 18A. Jelencic
- 16S. Durand
Lyon W
4-3-3- 14A. Hegerberg
- 7V. Bècho
- 6M. Dumornay
- 10I. Benyahia
- 13D. Egurrola
- 10L. Horan
- 3W. Renard
- 4S. Bacha
- 33Tarciane
- 26W. Sangaré
- 1C. Endler
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montpellier W have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lyon W have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nantes W(away) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marseille W(home) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint-Malo W(away) | 0-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 5-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | Lyon W(away) | 1-3 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 5-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Chelsea W(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Servette Chênois W(away) | 8-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Le Havre W(away) | 8-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC W(home) | 7-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Montpellier W wins, 0 draws, 6 Lyon W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Lyon W 3-1 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Montpellier W 1-5 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Montpellier W 1-4 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Lyon W 4-0 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Montpellier W 1-2 Lyon W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Lyon W 5-0 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lyon W vs Montpellier W on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montpellier W score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon W score 4.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier W | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lyon W | 4.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montpellier W sit 6th in Feminine Division 1 (5 points from 4 matches) and Lyon W sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Montpellier W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Montpellier W vs Lyon W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montpellier W vs Lyon W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon W the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Montpellier W.
- Where and when is Montpellier W vs Lyon W played?
- Montpellier W vs Lyon W is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7, in the Feminine Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.